INFORMATION SUPPORT FOR DECISION-MAKING IN THE EVALUATION OF CONSEQUENCES OF THE DISASTER OF THE DIFFERENT GENESIS BASED ON MODELING OF SCENARIOS OF MANAGEMENT FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF TERRITORIES

Knaub Roman Viktorovich, Candidate of Geography, an associate professor at the Nature Management Department at Tomsk State University, RANS corresponding member

Abstract

In article approach to development of the system of the support of decision-making providing assessment of consequences of accidents of various genesis in terms of measurable quantities is considered. Risk levels of accidents for social and economic systems are considered, scenarios of development of power ecological consequences of accidents of various genesis are developed, formalization of indicators of power ecological consequences of accidents of various genesis for the benefit of sustainable development of territories is presented. The structure of system of support of decision-making for assessment of consequences of accidents is offered. The example of support of decision-making when forming the scenario of growth of accidents (dissipative) on the example of the Tomsk region and the countries of the world is given.

KEYWORDS: disasters, decision support system, modeling of management scenarios, sustainable development of territories.

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